Campaigning for Bangladesh’s 13th Jatiya Sangsad election and the accompanying referendum ends at 7:30 this morning, ushering in the mandatory 48-hour silence period ahead of voting on Thursday. Polling will be held for the National Parliamentary election and the referendum under the July National Charter. The final phase of election comes amid tightening restrictions, heightened security and fresh survey projections.
A public opinion survey by Dhaka-based NGO Eminence Associates for Social Development (EASD) forecasts a decisive lead for the BNP-led alliance, projecting around 208 seats. The Jamaat-e-Islami-led alliance is estimated to secure 46 seats, the Jatiya Party three, other parties four, and independents 17. Based on responses from 41,500 people, EASD says it is the largest survey conducted so far ahead of the polls.
With the Yunus administration barring the Awami League from political activities and election participation, BNP and Jamaat-backed candidates have stepped up efforts to attract Awami League-leaning voters, exploiting political gaps created by legal cases and the absence of grassroots leadership of Awami League.
In a televised address on Bangladesh Television, BNP Chairman Tarique Rahman acknowledged past “unintentional mistakes” made while his party was in power. He sought voter support to build a “safe and self-reliant Bangladesh,” pledging strict anti-corruption measures and accountability. Mr Rahman later concluded his campaign by visiting the graves of his parents after a day of rallies in Dhaka.
Jamaat-e-Islami Ameer Shafiqur Rahman, in a separate address broadcast on BTV and Bangladesh Betar, called for ethical leadership, institutional reform and inclusive governance.
The Election Commission has imposed strict pre-poll measures, including an 82.5-hour ban on people staying outside their own electoral areas from 10 February, citing concerns over undue influence and law and order.
Security has been significantly tightened nationwide, with the Bangladesh Army and other forces placed on special operational alert until 14 February.
Around 900,000 personnel will be deployed, and 1,051 executive magistrates assigned to run mobile courts.